Are Home Prices Going To Fall?

For a lot of would-be first-time buyers , affordability is the thing that’s standing in the way. But some buyers are getting creative and finding a way to still make the numbers work – and that’s through co-buying . The Dream Is Still Alive. The Math Just Isn’t Working for Everyone. Young people haven’t given up on the dream of owning a home – not even close. According to FirstHome IQ, homeownership still ranks among the top life goals for the next generation. The problem? 73% of Gen Z and millennial buyers cite affordability as the reason for not making homeownership a priority. And it shows. First-time buyers now make up just 21% of all home purchases , the lowest share since the National Association of Realtors (NAR) started tracking the data in 1981. But still, some buyers are making it happen. And a portion of them are turning to co-buying to get their foot in the door. So, What’s Co-Buying? Co-buying means purchasing a home with someone else, like a friend, sibling, or unmarried partner. You combine incomes, split the down payment, and share monthly costs. For some people, it’s a creative way to turn “someday” into a concrete move-in date that’s just around the corner. And it's catching on fast, just look at where things stand today. According to CoBuy.io , 64 million Americans now co-own a home with someone they’re not married to. In fact, 31.5% of home purchases involve co-buyers ( see graph below ):

Selling your house this season? You’ve probably heard you should stage it before it hits the market. But what does that really mean – and is it worth the effort? The short answer is “yes,” especially right now. With more houses for sale this year, you’re likely wondering how to make the most money possible without your house sitting on the market. The answer is staging. It can help your house stand out, bring in stronger offers, and sell faster . As Nadia Evangelou, Principal Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), puts it: “Staging matters. Preparing the home to be ‘buyer-ready’ attracts more buyers, especially now that inventory has increased.” Here's what staging actually involves and what it could do for your sale. What Is Home Staging? Home staging is the process of preparing your house, so it appeals to as many buyers as possible . That usually means decluttering, deep cleaning, rearranging furniture, and adding simple touches that help each room feel bright, open, and welcoming. The goal is to help buyers fall in love with the space and picture themselves living there , which makes them more likely to make an offer. Why Staging Is Worth the Effort Staged houses tend to perform better on almost every metric that matters when you sell. According to Redfin , staged homes have been shown to sell up to 73% faster than unstaged homes. And they often close in under a month, compared to anywhere from two to three months for vacant ones. There’s also a strong return on the money you spend. The Home Staging Institute says mid-level staging can deliver a 350% return on investment. On a $400k home, that turns the typical $4k cost into roughly $18k in added value when you sell ( see graph below ):

You may have heard April 12-18 was the “ best week ” to list your house. That’s based on a report from Realtor.com . But now that it’s passed, you may be wondering if you missed your moment. Here's the good news – you didn’t. Because the reality is, there isn’t just one perfect week to sell your house this Spring. There’s a window. And right now, you’re still in it. Your Window To Sell Is Still Wide Open Here’s why. Different organizations run studies like this every year. And they don’t always land on the exact same week. That’s okay. It’s because they're using different research methods and even different definitions of what “best” means. But the fact that the results vary points to a larger trend. While there may be sweet spots, the entire Spring season gives sellers an opportunity to get some of the best conditions (and best sales prices) of the year. And it’s definitely not too late to jump in. Why Listing in Late May Is the Perfect Play According to Zillow , the best time to list your house this year is the last 2 weeks of May. And that’s approaching fast. Based on their analysis, this is the ideal time to do it if you want to make top dollar. Because, in this 2-week window, homes sell for more . Sometimes, quite a bit more. Depending on where you are and the price point in your area, some homeowners may even net tens of thousands of dollars extra in this sweet spot. As Zillow explains: “Why late spring? Buyer demand typically peaks before Memorial Day. Families want to move during the summer and settle in before the new school year. More buyers shopping at once can spark competition and lift prices .” And they’re not the only ones saying listing in May could be the key to selling for more. ATTOM Data analyzed almost 52 million home sales over the past 10 years and found sellers in May are achieving some of the highest returns . That means the ideal window this year is very much still open. What This Means for You If your goal is to sell for the strongest possible price, this is where timing and strategy come together. And you want to be sure you’re ready to make the most of it. So, what should you be doing right now? When prepping for a fast-moving window like this, you don’t want to waste time or money on the wrong prep work. And your agent is your go-to to make sure you’re focusing on the right things. They’ll be able to tell you if the “ best week ” is slightly different in your market. And what quick repairs or updates can help you get a higher price, without taking a ton of time or effort. Here's a quick example of things an agent may recommend based on information from Redfin :

Looking to buy a home this season? Here's what you should know. Buyers have more leverage today than they’ve had in years. There are more homes to choose from and, in many areas, sellers are more open to negotiation. But that doesn’t mean competition is gone completely. These days, it varies a lot depending on where you’re hoping to move. If you’re buying in a popular neighborhood, or in a market where there aren’t many homes for sale, you may still find yourself competing with another buyer. And that’s especially true in the Spring. Here's how to stay one step ahead of any competition this season. Why Your Best Offer Still Matters This Spring According to experts at Zillow and Realtor.com , Spring is one of the busiest times of year to buy a home. That’s because many buyers want to move now so they can settle in before the next school year. And when more buyers enter the market, competition naturally picks up. So, depending on where you’re buying, you may still need to move quickly and make a strong offer, even though the market overall has moderated. And that’s especially true if you find a home you really love . This is what you need to know to make your offer stand out. 1. Lead with a Strong, Realistic Offer It’s tempting to start low and negotiate up. And in some markets, that strategy can work. But if a home is priced well and getting attention, lowballing could hurt your chances. Instead, focus on making an offer that reflects your local market. As Bankrate explains: “There is no magic formula for an optimal home offer. Any offer will be heavily dependent on asking price and local market conditions . . . Your real estate agent will know the local market well and can advise what a competitive — but fair — offer will look like in your area. ” The goal is to make an offer that makes sense for you and stands out to the seller. 2. Have a Plan for Competing Offers If you’ve fallen in love with a home, it’s important to have a plan in case there’s competition from another buyer. One strategy your agent may discuss with you is an escalation clause , which Investopedia explains like this: “ An escalation clause is a way to automatically escalate your bid by a certain dollar amount, up to a certain ceiling, to compete with other bids.” The key is knowing your budget and sticking to it. You don’t want to lose out over a small difference – and this can help prevent that. But you also don’t want to overpay. Keep in mind that if the appraisal comes in lower than your offer, you may have to make up the difference out of pocket. Your agent can help you weigh those risks and determine the best approach for your situation. 3. Keep Your Offer Clean Price matters. But sellers also look closely at your offer’s terms. In some cases, a simpler, cleaner offer can stand out – even if it’s not the highest. As Redfin says: “ Sellers tend to want clean, straightforward offers with minimal strings attached. Keep your requests simple and focus on the essentials.” Your agent can help you prioritize what matters most, so you’re not giving up things you need, while still making your offer as appealing as possible. 4. Be Flexible Where You Can Sometimes, what helps your offer the most is understanding what matters to the seller. NerdWallet explains: “ As you prepare an offer, you tend to focus on what the seller has (a house) and what you want (their house). But you’ll gain a competitive edge by viewing the transaction from the seller’s eyes: What does the seller want?” Does the seller need extra time to move out? Or do they want to move as soon as possible? Your agent can talk with the seller’s agent to find out what matters most. Flexibility here can make a big difference in how your offer is received. Bottom Line Today's market may be balancing out, but strong offers still matter – especially during the busy Spring season in areas like Granite Bay, Roseville, Rocklin, El Dorado Hills and Folsom. Some houses are sitting longer than others, but some are going super fast! The buyers are very picky and when a beautiful home comes on the market, they typically sell fast and for a great price. Make sure that you’re working with an agent like myself who is familiar with the market and will help guide you properly whilst strategizing your offer. 

There’s a lot of uncertainty right now and that’s leading to some dramatic headlines. And if you’re thinking about buying a home, that can make you feel a little less sure about your decision. A recent study by CNBC asked homebuyers what they’re most worried about, and three themes kept coming up again and again: Mortgage rates The number of homes for sale Home prices But a lot of what you may be hearing on those is based more on misconceptions. Not facts. So, let’s break it down and separate fact from fiction. Misconception #1: “ I’ll Just Wait, Because Mortgage Rates Are Going To Fall Dramatically ” One idea doing its rounds on social is that mortgage rates are going to drop dramatically soon. So, it’s better to wait to buy. But is that really what’s expected? While mortgage rates have come down a bit in the last few weeks, forecasts don’t show a major drop ahead. The most likely scenario is that rates stay somewhere in the low 6% range this year. And that’s not a big change from where rates are now ( see graph below ): 

According to Google Trends , online searches for down payment information recently hit an all-time high. And that’s a clear sign more buyers are trying to figure out what they really need to save before making a move ( see graph below ):

You’ve probably asked yourself lately: Is it even worth trying to buy a home right now ? It’s a question a lot of people are asking no matter where they live, or what their income is. With today’s home prices and mortgage rates, renting can feel like the easier path. In some cases, it might even seem like the only realistic option right now. And if that’s where you are, there’s nothing wrong with that. But if you’re weighing the decision, there’s one part of the conversation that doesn’t get talked about enough. It’s what each choice does for your future. What Renting Really Gets You (And What It Doesn’t) Depending on your situation, renting does have some advantages: Lower upfront costs. Less responsibility. More flexibility to move when you want. But even with those benefits, a Bank of America survey found 70% of aspiring homeowners worry about what long-term renting means for their future. And that concern comes down to one thing: you’re not building anything for your future. As Yahoo Finance explains: “Paying rent doesn't build equity. You get a place to live, but no ownership stake, no price appreciation, and no asset to leverage for future borrowing or investment .” So, while renting may feel easier, the flexibility you get comes at a cost. How Homeownership Builds Your Wealth Over Time On the other hand, owning a home is one of the most consistent ways people build wealth over time. Why? When you’re a homeowner, you gain something called equity . That’s the difference between what your home is worth and what you owe. That equity grows with every monthly payment you make. It also gets a boost as home values go up through the years – and it adds up quicker than you may think. Today, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says the average homeowner’s net worth is 43X greater than that of a renter:

If you’re getting a tax refund this year, here’s something worth thinking about. That money could actually help you get closer to buying a home. It may not be something you’ve factored into your plan yet, but it can give your savings a nice boost right when you need it most. And whether your refund is a few thousand dollars or more, there are some smart ways to put that money to work as you get ready to buy . Your Refund May Be Even Bigger This Year Let’s start with the good news. People are getting even more money back in their refunds than they did last year. The visual below uses data from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to show the average individual’s refund is 11.1% higher this year:

For a lot of people, the math on buying a home just doesn’t really work right now. Maybe that’s how it feels for you too. You look at the cost of buying . Then you look at the cost of childcare. And it starts to feel like you have to choose one or the other. But some families are finding a way to make both work by doing something a little different: teaming up to purchase a multi-generational home . One Reason This Is Becoming More Common It’s no secret that affordability has been a challenge in recent years. But for families with young kids, there’s an added layer that can make it feel even harder: childcare. According to the Department of Health and Human Services , childcare should take up no more than 7% of your monthly income. But in reality, the average married couple spends closer to 10% ( see map below ):