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3 Key Factors Affecting Home Affordability

Jan 20, 2024

Over the past year, a lot of people have been talking about housing affordability here in Placer and Sacramento Counties, and how tight it’s gotten. But just recently, there’s been a little bit of relief on that front. Mortgage rates have gone down since their most recent peak in October. But there’s more to being able to afford a home than just mortgage rates.

To really understand home affordability, you need to look at the combination of three important factors: mortgage rates, home prices, and wages. Let’s dive into the latest data on each one to see why affordability is improving.

1. Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates have come down in recent months. And looking forward, most experts expect them to decline further over the course of the year. Jiayi Xu, an economist at Realtor.comexplains:

“While there could be some fluctuations in the path forward …  the general expectation is that mortgage rates will continue to trend downward , as long as the economy continues to see progress on inflation.”

And even a small change in mortgage rates can have a big impact on your purchasing power, making it easier for you to afford the home you want by reducing your monthly mortgage payment. As a buyer you need to consider what you feel is affordable, while also thinking about the long term plan. A $400 difference in a payment to some buyers is huge, and to others it's not a big deal at all. You also must consider your position to buy. 

A key factor to consider is that if your living at home, you are truly saving money but if your renting you are not. Unless you are living at home, or pay cash for your home, you are always making a mortgage payment. The key factor to consider is do you want to pay off someone else's debt or your own?  If you are buying for your self than you get the equity gain in the future and the property will eventually be paid off and owned by you. If you are renting, then your landlord will get the equity gain in the future. Wouldn't you rather be paying off your own home, and getting your own equity gain? 

2. Home Prices

The second important factor is home prices. After going up at a relatively normal pace last year, they’re expected to continue rising moderately in 2024. That’s because even with inventory projected to grow slightly this year, there still aren’t enough homes for sale for all the people who want to buy them. According to Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist at Bright MLS:

“More inventory will be generally offset by more buyers in the market. As a result, it is expected that, overall,  the median home price in the U.S. will grow modestly  . . .”

With the interest rates at a more normal rate, it has slowed down the housing market. Many people are staying inter homes longer as they are in love with the ultra low interest rates they got in 2020, and 2021 which means that there are less homes to buy. And less inventory to sell. This is keeping the prices stable. They are not likely to skyrocket like they did during the pandemic, however with the ultra low inventory to choose from the prices are not expected to go down either. However, it also means it’ll probably cost you more to wait for the rates to come down before you buy. So, if you’re ready, willing, and able to buy, and you can find the right home, purchasing before more buyers enter the market and prices rise further might be in your best interest. 

The saying that I often hear is, date the rate, but marry your house. This is because you can always get a new interest rate by refinancing in the future if and when the rates come down, but you lock in the price of your house when you buy it. It always feels good to buy and know that no-one will give you a rent increase. 

3. Wages

Another positive factor in affordability right now is rising income. The graph below uses data from the Federal Reserve to show how wages have grown over time: 



If you look at the blue dotted trendline, you can see the rate at which wages typically rise. But on the right side of the graph, wages are above the trend line today, meaning they’re going up at a higher rate than normal.

Higher wages improve affordability because they reduce the percentage of your income it takes to pay your mortgage. That’s because you don’t have to put as much of your paycheck toward your monthly housing cost.

What This Means for You

Home affordability depends on three things: mortgage rates, home prices, and wages. The good news is, they’re moving in a positive direction for buyers overall.

Bottom Line

If you're thinking about buying a home, it's important to know the main factors impacting affordability are improving. To get the latest updates on each, connect with me, your top agent, your real estate professional who has grown up in Roseville, and Placer County. A professional who moved back to raid my family as I know the quality of life here is great! There is no place else like the Sacramento Valley. Whether you want to live in Granite Bay, Eldorado Hills, Roseville, Rocklin, Sacramento, or anywhere around our amazing community let's connect. Let's discuss what the home-buying process looks like for you and your family. 

09 May, 2024
If you’re a member of a younger generation, like Gen Z, you may be asking the question: will I ever be able to buy a home here in Sacramento or Roseville ? And chances are, you’re worried that’s not going to be in the cards with inflation, rising home prices , mortgage rates , and more seemingly stacked against you.  While there’s no arguing this housing market is challenging for first-time homebuyers , it is still achievable, especially if you have professionals on your side. Here are some helpful tips you may get from a pro. 1. Explore Your Options for a Down Payment If a down payment is your #1 hurdle, you may have options to give your savings a boost. There are over 2,000 down payment assistance programs designed to make homeownership more achievable. And, that’s not the only place you may be able to get a helping hand. While it may not be an option for everyone, 49% of Gen Z homebuyers got money from loved ones that they used toward a down payment, according to LendingTree. And chances are you won’t need to put 20% down (unless specified by your loan type or lender). So be sure to work with a trusted mortgage professional to explore your options, find out how much you’ll really need, and learn about any guidelines on getting a gift from loved ones.  2. Live with Loved Ones To Boost Your Savings Another thing a number of Gen Z buyers are doing is ditching their rental and moving back in with friends or family . This can help cut down your housing costs so you can build your savings a whole lot faster. As Bankrate explains : “. . . many have opted to stop renting and live with family in order to boost their savings. Thirty percent of Gen Z homebuyers move directly from their family member’s home to a home of their own, according to NAR . ”  3. Cast a Broad Net for Your Search When you’ve saved up enough, here’s how a pro will help you approach your search. Since the supply of homes for sale is still low and affordability is tight, they’ll give you strategies and avenues you may not have considered to open up your pool of options. For example, it’s usually more affordable if you consider a rural or suburban area versus an urban one. So, while the city may be livelier and more energetic, the cost of living may be reason enough to look at something further out. And if you consider smaller homes and condos or townhouses , you’ll give yourself even more ways to break into the market. As Colby Stout, Research Analyst at Bright MLS, explains :  “Being flexible on the types of home (e.g., a condo or townhome versus a single-family home) and exploring more affordable neighborhoods is important for first-time buyers.”  4. Take a Close Look at Your Wants and Needs And lastly, an agent can help you really think about your must-have’s and nice-to-have’s. Remember, your first home doesn’t have to be your forever home. You just need to get your foot in the door to start building equity . If you want to buy , you may find making some compromises is worth it. As Chase says: “An open-minded approach to house-hunting may be one way for Gen Z homebuyers to maintain some edge. This could mean buying in areas that are less expensive. Differentiating needs vs. wants may help in this area as well . ”  An agent will help you prioritize your list of home features and find houses that can deliver on the top ones. And they’ll be able to explain how equity can benefit you in the long run and make it possible to move into that dream home down the line.  Bottom Line Real estate professionals have expertise on what’s working for other buyers like you. Lean on them for tips and advice along the way. As Directors Mortgage says, with that support you can make it happen:  “ The path to homeownership may not be a straightforward one for Gen Z, but it’s undoubtedly within reach. By adopting the right strategies, like exploring down payment assistance programs and sharing living costs with relatives, you can bring your dream of owning a home closer to reality.” Let’s connect to get you set up for long-term success.
03 May, 2024
Thinking about selling your house in Granite Bay, Loomis, Roseville, Rocklin, Folsom, or anywhere in the Sacramento valley? If you are, you might be weighing factors like today’s mortgage rates and your own changing needs to figure out your next move . Here’s something else to consider. According to the latest Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) from Fannie Mae, the percent of respondents who say it’s a good time to sell is on the rise (see graph below):
02 May, 2024
Ever thought about living in the same house with your grandparents, parents, or other loved ones? You're not alone. A lot of people are choosing to buy multi-generational homes where everyone can live together. Let's check out why they think it’s a good idea to see if it might be a good fit for you, too. Why People Are Choosing Multi-Generational Living According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), here are just a few key reasons buyers opted for multi-generational homes over the past year (see graph below):
25 Apr, 2024
 Some Highlights When it comes to the current housing market , there are some myths circling around right now. Some of the more common ones are that it’s better to wait for mortgage rates to fall or prices to crash. But there are others about the supply of homes for sale and down payments. Let’s connect so you have an expert to help separate fact from fiction in today’s housing market.
25 Apr, 2024
Over the past year or so, a lot of people have been talking about how tough it is to buy a home . And while there’s no arguing affordability is still tight, there are signs it’s starting to get a bit better and may improve even more throughout the year. Elijah de la Campa, Senior Economist at Redfin, says : “ We’re slowly climbing our way out of an affordability hole, but we have a long way to go. Rates have come down from their peak and are expected to fall again by the end of the year, which should make homebuying a little more affordable and incentivize buyers to come off the sidelines.” Here’s a look at the latest data for the three biggest factors that affect home affordability: mortgage rates , home prices , and wages.
18 Apr, 2024
Some Highlights If you’re about to retire, or just did, downsizing can be a good way to try to cut down on some of your expenses. Smaller homes typically have lower energy and maintenance costs. Plus, you may have enough equity built up to fuel your move. If you're thinking about moving to a smaller home , let’s go over your goals and look at your options in our local market.
16 Apr, 2024
When mortgage rates spiked up over the last few years, some homeowners put their plans to move on pause. Maybe you did too because you didn’t want to sell and take on a higher mortgage rate for your next home. But is that still the right strategy for you? In today’s market , data shows more homeowners are getting used to where rates are and thinking it may be time to move . As Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, explains : “Listings are up a bit as life events and job changes are putting increasing pressure on locked-in homeowners to sell their homes. Homeowners may also be slowly coming to the realization that mortgage rates aren’t going back anywhere near the rate on their existing mortgage. ” A recent study from Bank of America sheds light on some of the things homeowners say would make them sell , even with rates where they are right now (see visual below):
12 Apr, 2024
If you have student loans and want to buy a home , you might have questions about how your debt affects your plans. Do you have to wait until you’ve paid off those loans before you can buy your first home? Or is it possible you could still qualify for a home loan even with that debt? Here’s a look at the latest information so you have the answers you need. A Bankrate article explains : “ Roughly 60 percent of U.S. adults who have held student loan debt have put off making important financial decisions due to that debt . . . For Gen Z and millennial borrowers alone, that number rises to 70 percent.” This includes one of the biggest financial decisions you’ll ever make, buying a home . But you should know, even with student loans, waiting to buy a home may not be necessary. While everyone’s situation is unique, your goal may be more within your reach than you realize. Here’s why. Can You Qualify for a Home Loan if You Have Student Loans? According to an annual report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), 38% of first-time buyers had student loan debt and the typical amount was $30,000. That means other people in a similar situation were able to qualify for and buy a home even though they also had student loans. And you may be able to do the same, especially if you have a steady source of income. As an article from Bankrate says :  “. . . you can have student loans and a mortgage at the same time. . . . If you have student loans and want a mortgage, there are multiple home loan programs you might qualify for . . . ”  The key takeaway is, for many people, homeownership is achievable even with student loans. You don’t have to figure this out on your own. The best way to make a decision about your goals and next steps is to talk to the professionals. A trusted lender can walk you through your options based on your situation, and share what’s worked for other buyers . Bottom Line Lots of other people with student loan debt are able to buy their own homes . Contact me to start the process and I happy to refer you to a lender who can help you go over your options and see how close you are to reaching your goal of home ownership.
11 Apr, 2024
You may have heard headlines in the news lately about agents in the real estate industry and discussions about their commissions and how they get paid. And if you’re following along, it can be pretty confusing. But here’s the thing you really need to know – I am still here to help you and we will make it happen! I offer the expert advice from a trusted real estate agent which is priceless, now more than ever. And here’s why.  A real estate agent does a lot more than you may realize. Your agent is the person who will guide you through every step when buying a home and look out for your best interests along the way. They smooth out a complex process and take away the bulk of the stress of what’s likely your largest purchase ever. And that’s exactly what you want and deserve. This is at least a part of the reason why a recent survey from Bright MLS found an overwhelming majority of people agree an agent is a key part of the homebuying process (see visual below):
04 Apr, 2024
Are you thinking about making a move ? If so, now may be the perfect time to start the process. That’s because experts say the best week to list your house is just around the corner. A recent Realtor.com study looked at housing market trends over the past several years (with the exception of 2020, since it was an unusual year), and found the best week to put your house on the market this year is April 14-20: “Every year, one week stands out from the rest as that perfect stretch of time when it’s great to be a home seller. This year, the week of April 14–20 is the best time to sell—that is, if sellers want to see lots of interest in their homes, sell quickly, and pocket some extra cash , according to Realtor.com ® data.” Here’s why this matters for you. While the spring market is a great time to sell no matter the week, this may be the peak sweet spot . And if you’ve been putting your plans on the back burner and waiting for the right time to act, this could be the nudge you need to make your move happen. As Hannah Jones, Senior Economic Research Analyst at Realtor.com explains : “The third week of April brings the best combination of housing market factors for sellers. The best week offers higher buyer demand, lower competition [from other sellers], and fewer price reductions than the typical week of the year .” But, if you want to get in on the action, you’ll need to move quickly and lean on the pros . Your local real estate agent is the perfect go-to when it comes to figuring out a plan to prep your house and get it on the market. They’ll be able to offer advice to balance your target listing date with what you need to do from a repair and renovation standpoint. And they can walk you through exactly how to prioritize your list so you know what to tackle first. For example, if your house is already in good shape, you’ll be able to really focus in on the smaller things that are easy to do and make a big impact. As an article from Investopedia says : “You won’t have time for any major renovations, so focus on quick repairs to address things that could deter potential buyers.” Here are some specific examples from that article:
Show More
09 May, 2024
If you’re a member of a younger generation, like Gen Z, you may be asking the question: will I ever be able to buy a home here in Sacramento or Roseville ? And chances are, you’re worried that’s not going to be in the cards with inflation, rising home prices , mortgage rates , and more seemingly stacked against you.  While there’s no arguing this housing market is challenging for first-time homebuyers , it is still achievable, especially if you have professionals on your side. Here are some helpful tips you may get from a pro. 1. Explore Your Options for a Down Payment If a down payment is your #1 hurdle, you may have options to give your savings a boost. There are over 2,000 down payment assistance programs designed to make homeownership more achievable. And, that’s not the only place you may be able to get a helping hand. While it may not be an option for everyone, 49% of Gen Z homebuyers got money from loved ones that they used toward a down payment, according to LendingTree. And chances are you won’t need to put 20% down (unless specified by your loan type or lender). So be sure to work with a trusted mortgage professional to explore your options, find out how much you’ll really need, and learn about any guidelines on getting a gift from loved ones.  2. Live with Loved Ones To Boost Your Savings Another thing a number of Gen Z buyers are doing is ditching their rental and moving back in with friends or family . This can help cut down your housing costs so you can build your savings a whole lot faster. As Bankrate explains : “. . . many have opted to stop renting and live with family in order to boost their savings. Thirty percent of Gen Z homebuyers move directly from their family member’s home to a home of their own, according to NAR . ”  3. Cast a Broad Net for Your Search When you’ve saved up enough, here’s how a pro will help you approach your search. Since the supply of homes for sale is still low and affordability is tight, they’ll give you strategies and avenues you may not have considered to open up your pool of options. For example, it’s usually more affordable if you consider a rural or suburban area versus an urban one. So, while the city may be livelier and more energetic, the cost of living may be reason enough to look at something further out. And if you consider smaller homes and condos or townhouses , you’ll give yourself even more ways to break into the market. As Colby Stout, Research Analyst at Bright MLS, explains :  “Being flexible on the types of home (e.g., a condo or townhome versus a single-family home) and exploring more affordable neighborhoods is important for first-time buyers.”  4. Take a Close Look at Your Wants and Needs And lastly, an agent can help you really think about your must-have’s and nice-to-have’s. Remember, your first home doesn’t have to be your forever home. You just need to get your foot in the door to start building equity . If you want to buy , you may find making some compromises is worth it. As Chase says: “An open-minded approach to house-hunting may be one way for Gen Z homebuyers to maintain some edge. This could mean buying in areas that are less expensive. Differentiating needs vs. wants may help in this area as well . ”  An agent will help you prioritize your list of home features and find houses that can deliver on the top ones. And they’ll be able to explain how equity can benefit you in the long run and make it possible to move into that dream home down the line.  Bottom Line Real estate professionals have expertise on what’s working for other buyers like you. Lean on them for tips and advice along the way. As Directors Mortgage says, with that support you can make it happen:  “ The path to homeownership may not be a straightforward one for Gen Z, but it’s undoubtedly within reach. By adopting the right strategies, like exploring down payment assistance programs and sharing living costs with relatives, you can bring your dream of owning a home closer to reality.” Let’s connect to get you set up for long-term success.
03 May, 2024
Thinking about selling your house in Granite Bay, Loomis, Roseville, Rocklin, Folsom, or anywhere in the Sacramento valley? If you are, you might be weighing factors like today’s mortgage rates and your own changing needs to figure out your next move . Here’s something else to consider. According to the latest Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) from Fannie Mae, the percent of respondents who say it’s a good time to sell is on the rise (see graph below):
02 May, 2024
Ever thought about living in the same house with your grandparents, parents, or other loved ones? You're not alone. A lot of people are choosing to buy multi-generational homes where everyone can live together. Let's check out why they think it’s a good idea to see if it might be a good fit for you, too. Why People Are Choosing Multi-Generational Living According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), here are just a few key reasons buyers opted for multi-generational homes over the past year (see graph below):
25 Apr, 2024
 Some Highlights When it comes to the current housing market , there are some myths circling around right now. Some of the more common ones are that it’s better to wait for mortgage rates to fall or prices to crash. But there are others about the supply of homes for sale and down payments. Let’s connect so you have an expert to help separate fact from fiction in today’s housing market.
25 Apr, 2024
Over the past year or so, a lot of people have been talking about how tough it is to buy a home . And while there’s no arguing affordability is still tight, there are signs it’s starting to get a bit better and may improve even more throughout the year. Elijah de la Campa, Senior Economist at Redfin, says : “ We’re slowly climbing our way out of an affordability hole, but we have a long way to go. Rates have come down from their peak and are expected to fall again by the end of the year, which should make homebuying a little more affordable and incentivize buyers to come off the sidelines.” Here’s a look at the latest data for the three biggest factors that affect home affordability: mortgage rates , home prices , and wages.
18 Apr, 2024
Some Highlights If you’re about to retire, or just did, downsizing can be a good way to try to cut down on some of your expenses. Smaller homes typically have lower energy and maintenance costs. Plus, you may have enough equity built up to fuel your move. If you're thinking about moving to a smaller home , let’s go over your goals and look at your options in our local market.
16 Apr, 2024
When mortgage rates spiked up over the last few years, some homeowners put their plans to move on pause. Maybe you did too because you didn’t want to sell and take on a higher mortgage rate for your next home. But is that still the right strategy for you? In today’s market , data shows more homeowners are getting used to where rates are and thinking it may be time to move . As Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, explains : “Listings are up a bit as life events and job changes are putting increasing pressure on locked-in homeowners to sell their homes. Homeowners may also be slowly coming to the realization that mortgage rates aren’t going back anywhere near the rate on their existing mortgage. ” A recent study from Bank of America sheds light on some of the things homeowners say would make them sell , even with rates where they are right now (see visual below):
12 Apr, 2024
If you have student loans and want to buy a home , you might have questions about how your debt affects your plans. Do you have to wait until you’ve paid off those loans before you can buy your first home? Or is it possible you could still qualify for a home loan even with that debt? Here’s a look at the latest information so you have the answers you need. A Bankrate article explains : “ Roughly 60 percent of U.S. adults who have held student loan debt have put off making important financial decisions due to that debt . . . For Gen Z and millennial borrowers alone, that number rises to 70 percent.” This includes one of the biggest financial decisions you’ll ever make, buying a home . But you should know, even with student loans, waiting to buy a home may not be necessary. While everyone’s situation is unique, your goal may be more within your reach than you realize. Here’s why. Can You Qualify for a Home Loan if You Have Student Loans? According to an annual report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), 38% of first-time buyers had student loan debt and the typical amount was $30,000. That means other people in a similar situation were able to qualify for and buy a home even though they also had student loans. And you may be able to do the same, especially if you have a steady source of income. As an article from Bankrate says :  “. . . you can have student loans and a mortgage at the same time. . . . If you have student loans and want a mortgage, there are multiple home loan programs you might qualify for . . . ”  The key takeaway is, for many people, homeownership is achievable even with student loans. You don’t have to figure this out on your own. The best way to make a decision about your goals and next steps is to talk to the professionals. A trusted lender can walk you through your options based on your situation, and share what’s worked for other buyers . Bottom Line Lots of other people with student loan debt are able to buy their own homes . Contact me to start the process and I happy to refer you to a lender who can help you go over your options and see how close you are to reaching your goal of home ownership.
11 Apr, 2024
You may have heard headlines in the news lately about agents in the real estate industry and discussions about their commissions and how they get paid. And if you’re following along, it can be pretty confusing. But here’s the thing you really need to know – I am still here to help you and we will make it happen! I offer the expert advice from a trusted real estate agent which is priceless, now more than ever. And here’s why.  A real estate agent does a lot more than you may realize. Your agent is the person who will guide you through every step when buying a home and look out for your best interests along the way. They smooth out a complex process and take away the bulk of the stress of what’s likely your largest purchase ever. And that’s exactly what you want and deserve. This is at least a part of the reason why a recent survey from Bright MLS found an overwhelming majority of people agree an agent is a key part of the homebuying process (see visual below):
04 Apr, 2024
Are you thinking about making a move ? If so, now may be the perfect time to start the process. That’s because experts say the best week to list your house is just around the corner. A recent Realtor.com study looked at housing market trends over the past several years (with the exception of 2020, since it was an unusual year), and found the best week to put your house on the market this year is April 14-20: “Every year, one week stands out from the rest as that perfect stretch of time when it’s great to be a home seller. This year, the week of April 14–20 is the best time to sell—that is, if sellers want to see lots of interest in their homes, sell quickly, and pocket some extra cash , according to Realtor.com ® data.” Here’s why this matters for you. While the spring market is a great time to sell no matter the week, this may be the peak sweet spot . And if you’ve been putting your plans on the back burner and waiting for the right time to act, this could be the nudge you need to make your move happen. As Hannah Jones, Senior Economic Research Analyst at Realtor.com explains : “The third week of April brings the best combination of housing market factors for sellers. The best week offers higher buyer demand, lower competition [from other sellers], and fewer price reductions than the typical week of the year .” But, if you want to get in on the action, you’ll need to move quickly and lean on the pros . Your local real estate agent is the perfect go-to when it comes to figuring out a plan to prep your house and get it on the market. They’ll be able to offer advice to balance your target listing date with what you need to do from a repair and renovation standpoint. And they can walk you through exactly how to prioritize your list so you know what to tackle first. For example, if your house is already in good shape, you’ll be able to really focus in on the smaller things that are easy to do and make a big impact. As an article from Investopedia says : “You won’t have time for any major renovations, so focus on quick repairs to address things that could deter potential buyers.” Here are some specific examples from that article:
Show More
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